Were the crimes as bad as they were portrayed before the midterm elections? | Jobs Recent


Crime, and the fear Americans have, has proven to be a popular talking point for elections and the 2022 midterm elections were no different.

It played a major role in New York, California, Illinois, etc., as some Republican candidates said that the big cities of the state are full of crime and violence heads have caught fire, causing crime to be one of the most pressing issues for US voters. election, another big poll showed. (The polls showed inflation and access to abortion were also top of mind.)

However, surveys show Americans are getting worse at detecting how much crime is taking place.

The Pew Research Center found that 61% of voters say violence is an important issue in voting in this year’s congressional elections, despite reports from the Bureau of Justice Statistics that do not show a significant increase in the rate of violence in the US. Crime rates – for violent/property and all crimes – have declined since the crime peak of the 1990s, and remain lower than that.

Pew found that Americans’ negative views of crime have been reflected in several elections before: in 2020, 2016, and beyond.

An October Gallup poll found that 78 percent of respondents said crime is now higher in the US, which compares to a record response in 1992 with 89 percent of respondents believing there was more crime that year, when the crime rate was on the rise.

“What people perceive as a real risk, or the probability that they will suffer a crime is not very related to what the statistics show,” said Rafael Prieto Curiel, a researcher at the Complexity Science Hub Vienna.

He continued, “I can look at an area with high crime and people can be less afraid of that area. Locally, some areas are considered unsafe. But they are not the ones who suffer the greatest amount of crime. There are cities with a lot of crime, but they are seen as safe and in a different way.”

IMAGE: Woman seen through "vote here" sign, as he enters a polling place to vote in the midterm elections, Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022, in Washington.

A woman is seen through a “vote here” sign, as she enters a polling place to vote in the midterm elections, Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022, in Washington.

Jacquelyn Martin/AP

So, how bad is crime in major US cities?

New York City

Data from the New York Police Department paints a mixed picture of crime in the city.

According to NYC CompStat data, murders and shootings in 2022 are down from 2021, but other crimes, including rape, robbery and theft.

Compared to 2010, homicides, robberies, robberies, assaults, and shootings are down in the city. Other crimes include rape, murder and aggravated assault.

All major crimes, including murder, rape and robbery, are down compared to 2001.

All crimes are down significantly compared to what some say about violence in the US that happened in 1993, with a percentage change of up to -87.9% for carjacking, and down to -37.5% for assault. to the city’s CompStat data.

Misdemeanor and non-serious crimes in NYC were the lowest in two decades between 2020 and 2021. Data for 2022 is not yet available.

Chicago

So far in 2022, shootings, homicides and battery have increased slightly since this time last year, according to Chicago Police crime statistics.

Burglary, theft and carjacking are on the rise.

When calculating the year-to-date change in percentages, there is a 40% increase in major crimes from last year, and a 16% change from 2018.

In 2021, there were 84,316 total crimes, which is down from 152,031 in 2010. It is also down from 199,234 in 2001.

By comparison, it has been declining since the 1990s, when it reached a peak of 323,944 incidents in 1991.

PHOTO: A sign guides voters to a polling place, November 08, 2022 in Milwaukee.

A sign directs voters to a polling place, November 08, 2022 in Milwaukee.

Scott Olson/Getty Images

Los Angeles

Crime, year to date, rose 2.8% from 2021 to 2022 in Los Angeles, according to city police data. Murder and rape are down, while property crime, assault and robbery are up.

However, overall crime has remained stable since 2010, according to LAPD crime data.

Crime and politics

Targeting voters with fear — whether it’s a crime or another reason — can have a big impact on what voters look for and the votes they cast, even if they don’t necessarily represent what’s going on, experts say.

“Another statement of [Americans’ poor perception of crime] it’s the way politicians and officials can raise voters to think about crime … and instilling that fear, that perception, can bring political benefits,” said Andrew Reeves, a professor at Washington University in St.

For example, New York Republican candidate for governor Lee Zeldin’s attention to fraud is believed to have helped him to an unexpectedly close race for the governor’s office, according to experts.

“There is an increase in crime on our streets and subways, and the people in charge right now in Albany feel like they haven’t passed enough laws,” New York Republican Representative Lee Zeldin said in a press conference. .

Research has found that people tend to feel a sense of love for their environment and value it as better and safer, while misinterpreting safety in other environments.

Experts who spoke to ABC News gave the politics and headlines that appear in the press as to why this concept of crime can be distorted.

Reeves and Prieto Curiel said that the fear of crime can lead to an increase in the number of firearms, the increase of the “other” or the fear of people from other areas where crime may be highlighted, the negative impact that fear can have on businesses and their customers, and. more.

“This view of crime is not good for the environment and it is not good for people and is used as a political tool,” said Prieto Curiel. “The way to fight crime is to make sure that crime and the fear of crime are closely related.”



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